Real Succes vs Cahul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
52.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Succes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
SAX
6 - 3
REA
66%
20%
15%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SIN
3 - 1
REA
79%
14%
8%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
REA
1 - 3
FLO
26%
21%
53%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
REA
3 - 5
FCV
12%
18%
70%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
COD
6 - 0
REA
83%
11%
6%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Cahul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CAH
0 - 1
FLO
39%
23%
38%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CAH
1 - 1
FCV
30%
24%
47%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
COD
2 - 0
CAH
64%
19%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CAH
4 - 1
CSC
49%
22%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 2
CAH
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |