Real Sporting C vs La Fresneda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
11.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
GIN
1 - 1
REA
31%
23%
46%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
REA
2 - 0
ATL
84%
11%
6%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SIE
0 - 2
REA
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
REA
7 - 1
LLA
82%
12%
6%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
PDV
1 - 1
REA
44%
22%
34%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
La Fresneda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
FRE
1 - 2
UNI
27%
24%
49%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
CAN
1 - 0
FRE
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
FRE
0 - 0
COM
45%
23%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
FRE
1 - 0
GIN
30%
24%
47%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ATL
2 - 3
FRE
27%
22%
52%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |