Real Sporting C vs La Fresneda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
21.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
AST
1 - 1
REA
38%
24%
38%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
REA
4 - 0
ROC
52%
22%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
ESM
1 - 0
REA
45%
24%
31%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
REA
1 - 0
SIE
54%
21%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BER
0 - 1
REA
38%
23%
39%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
La Fresneda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
FRE
3 - 0
AST
53%
23%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 3
FRE
49%
23%
28%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 0
VAL
46%
24%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
NAV
0 - 0
FRE
42%
24%
34%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
FRE
1 - 0
COM
34%
22%
44%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |