Sporting Atlético vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
COM
3 - 2
SPB
45%
30%
26%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
SPB
1 - 1
LUG
62%
24%
13%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
GRA
2 - 2
SPB
47%
28%
25%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
CDG
0 - 1
SPB
53%
27%
20%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
SPB
0 - 1
BAR
33%
29%
38%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
RMC
6 - 1
CDT
94%
5%
1%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
ZAM
2 - 1
RMC
35%
32%
32%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
RMC
3 - 1
LOG
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
LON
2 - 1
RMC
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
RMC
5 - 1
TAL
73%
19%
9%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |