Sporting Atlético vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1979 |
PON
1 - 1
SPB
61%
25%
15%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
SPB
3 - 1
SPO
80%
14%
6%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
NAV
0 - 0
SPB
41%
31%
28%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
SPB
3 - 2
ARO
66%
23%
12%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
DEP
1 - 1
SPB
47%
29%
24%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1979 |
AVI
2 - 0
ALO
61%
24%
15%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
CEL
0 - 1
AVI
52%
28%
20%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
AVI
1 - 0
GRA
60%
24%
16%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
COM
2 - 2
AVI
65%
22%
13%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
AVI
1 - 0
TUR
67%
21%
12%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |