Sporting Atlético vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
51.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
CEL
2 - 1
SPB
59%
23%
19%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
LUG
4 - 0
SPB
83%
12%
5%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
SPB
2 - 2
CAN
40%
27%
33%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
COM
2 - 2
SPB
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
SPB
2 - 0
FCM
41%
26%
33%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
AVI
2 - 0
GRA
86%
10%
4%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
CEL
0 - 1
AVI
27%
25%
48%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
AVI
0 - 0
LUG
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
CAN
3 - 1
AVI
25%
26%
49%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
AVI
2 - 0
COM
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |