Sporting Atlético vs Navarro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
LEA
1 - 3
SPB
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
SPB
3 - 0
CON
82%
13%
6%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
SPB
3 - 0
TUR
87%
10%
3%
|
45 | 13 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
PCF
0 - 4
SPB
13%
22%
65%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2002 |
SPB
3 - 0
COV
85%
11%
4%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
COL
3 - 2
NAV
26%
26%
48%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
NAV
2 - 2
LEA
27%
25%
48%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
NAV
1 - 2
CON
58%
22%
21%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
TUR
1 - 3
NAV
14%
22%
64%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2002 |
NAV
2 - 3
PCF
58%
23%
19%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |