Sporting Atlético vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
13.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
GRA
2 - 2
SPB
47%
28%
25%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
CDG
0 - 1
SPB
53%
27%
20%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
SPB
0 - 1
BAR
33%
29%
38%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
ATH
6 - 2
SPB
71%
19%
10%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
SPB
0 - 0
PON
40%
29%
31%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
LUG
4 - 3
ENS
30%
35%
35%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
LUG
0 - 0
RCF
43%
31%
26%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
LEM
0 - 1
LUG
36%
26%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
TUR
1 - 0
LUG
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
LUG
2 - 1
LAR
55%
28%
18%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |