Sporting Atlético vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
25.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
TUR
1 - 1
SPB
69%
21%
10%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
GER
2 - 2
SPB
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
RCF
2 - 1
SPB
80%
15%
5%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
SPB
2 - 0
ATH
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
SPB
2 - 2
BAS
44%
27%
30%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
LUG
1 - 0
LEM
67%
22%
12%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
RCF
1 - 1
LUG
71%
19%
10%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
BAS
2 - 0
LUG
50%
28%
22%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 1975 |
GIM
5 - 0
LUG
75%
16%
8%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
LUG
3 - 2
CDG
65%
23%
12%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |