Sporting Atlético vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
17.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
COM
5 - 0
SPB
80%
13%
7%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
SPB
2 - 2
LEM
87%
10%
4%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
PON
2 - 0
SPB
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
SPB
2 - 0
DEP
85%
11%
4%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
ROB
2 - 1
SPB
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
LUG
4 - 0
TUR
86%
10%
4%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
CDO
1 - 0
LUG
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
LUG
3 - 2
CAN
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
ENS
2 - 1
LUG
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
COM
2 - 0
LUG
79%
14%
8%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |