Sporting Atlético vs Luarca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.1%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
8º
2º
31
11º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
UDL
0 - 2
SPB
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SPB
2 - 1
TUI
83%
11%
6%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CEA
1 - 1
SPB
17%
23%
60%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SPB
6 - 0
RTI
79%
14%
8%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CON
2 - 2
SPB
9%
21%
70%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
LUA
3 - 2
AVI
54%
23%
23%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 2
LUA
20%
23%
57%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LUA
1 - 1
COL
28%
24%
48%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
LLA
2 - 0
LUA
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
UDL
1 - 0
LUA
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |