Sporting Atlético vs Lealtad Villaviciosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
21%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
LEA
1 - 1
SPB
28%
26%
47%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
COV
0 - 1
SPB
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
SPB
2 - 0
COV
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
CON
0 - 2
SPB
9%
21%
70%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
SPB
1 - 1
URR
81%
14%
5%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
LEA
1 - 1
SPB
28%
26%
47%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
CAU
1 - 3
LEA
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
LEA
1 - 2
CAU
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
LEA
6 - 0
AVI
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
MOS
0 - 1
LEA
34%
28%
38%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |