Sporting Atlético vs CD Covadonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
8º
2º
65
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LEN
0 - 1
SPB
23%
25%
52%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 2
SPB
25%
25%
51%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SPB
5 - 1
AVI
85%
10%
5%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
SPB
8%
19%
73%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SPB
2 - 1
COL
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
COV
2 - 0
AVI
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 2
COV
7%
15%
78%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
COV
1 - 0
COL
69%
18%
14%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
LUA
1 - 2
COV
17%
21%
62%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
COV
2 - 1
UDL
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |