Sporting Atlético vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
RCF
3 - 1
SPB
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SPB
2 - 1
UDL
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 0
SPB
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SPB
1 - 0
CDG
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CUL
4 - 0
SPB
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CEL
1 - 4
OVI
20%
24%
56%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SOM
2 - 1
CEL
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 1
COM
46%
25%
30%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
TRO
3 - 1
CEL
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CEL
4 - 1
ZAM
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |