Sporting Atlético vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
17%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
17.7%
6.9%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
LUG
3 - 0
SPB
49%
28%
23%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
SPB
3 - 0
ARO
72%
20%
8%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
NAV
2 - 1
SPB
33%
32%
36%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
SPB
2 - 0
TUR
66%
23%
11%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
GIM
1 - 2
SPB
45%
28%
27%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
CEL
0 - 3
GRA
47%
30%
23%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
GIN
3 - 2
CEL
67%
21%
11%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
CEL
1 - 1
CAM
58%
27%
15%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
CEL
1 - 0
LUG
39%
31%
30%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
ARO
1 - 0
CEL
65%
24%
12%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |