Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 8-2
Real Sociedad vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
13%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1958 |
RJA
2 - 1
RSO
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
RSO
1 - 0
OSA
65%
19%
17%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
OSA
0 - 0
RSO
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
RSO
2 - 4
ATM
40%
23%
36%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
CEL
1 - 0
RSO
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1958 |
RJA
2 - 1
RSO
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
GRA
0 - 2
RJA
58%
20%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
RJA
1 - 0
GRA
67%
18%
16%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
RJA
0 - 2
OSA
44%
24%
32%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
ZAR
2 - 0
RJA
62%
20%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |