Real Cundinamarca vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 0
RSC
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
RSC
1 - 3
UNI
47%
29%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2009 |
JUN
4 - 1
RSC
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
AGU
0 - 0
RSC
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
RSC
3 - 2
REA
54%
27%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 1
TFC
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2009 |
TFC
1 - 0
UNI
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
AGU
2 - 1
UNI
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 2
JUN
21%
26%
54%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 1
PAT
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |