Real Cundinamarca vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
47.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 0
RSC
58%
25%
17%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
RSC
1 - 2
ORS
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
3 - 2
RSC
27%
28%
45%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
RSC
0 - 2
BOG
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 1
RSC
29%
28%
44%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
4 - 0
ORS
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 3
FOR
23%
27%
50%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 0
BOG
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 0
FOR
28%
27%
45%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 1
TFC
64%
21%
14%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |