Real Cundinamarca vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
LEO
0 - 1
RSC
49%
28%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
REA
1 - 3
RSC
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
RSC
2 - 1
CUC
42%
29%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
AME
3 - 1
RSC
62%
22%
15%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 1
RSC
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 2
BOG
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 0
ALI
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PAS
1 - 0
FOR
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 1
SFE
19%
27%
54%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
PAT
1 - 0
FOR
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |