1a B Ap. Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Real Cundinamarca vs Deportivo Pasto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
50.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
RSC
1 - 0
PAT
28%
28%
43%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
PAC
1 - 1
RSC
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 0
RSC
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2011 |
JUN
1 - 1
RSC
80%
14%
6%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
RSC
3 - 0
BOG
34%
30%
37%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
REA
0 - 0
PAS
25%
28%
48%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
PAS
1 - 0
CEN
66%
22%
12%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
PAS
2 - 1
CAL
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
TFC
0 - 2
PAS
27%
28%
45%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
COR
1 - 3
PAS
32%
26%
43%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |