Real Sitio vs Villacastín Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sitio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RSI
2 - 2
ESR
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
RSI
3 - 0
CAB
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
PRA
0 - 7
RSI
10%
14%
76%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
RSI
3 - 0
MOZ
75%
15%
11%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
COC
2 - 4
RSI
52%
20%
28%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Villacastín Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
LGR
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ESR
3 - 2
VIL
36%
23%
42%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
VIL
44%
22%
34%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 3
CAB
78%
13%
8%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAN
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |