Real Sitio vs Sporting Nava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sitio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 2
RSI
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
RSI
3 - 0
MON
33%
22%
45%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
ESR
2 - 1
RSI
42%
21%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
RSI
1 - 1
CAN
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
RSI
1 - 0
SLO
72%
15%
12%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Nava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ASU
2 - 1
LAS
21%
19%
60%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
VAL
4 - 3
ASU
46%
22%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ASU
1 - 3
SMM
49%
22%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MOZ
2 - 0
ASU
27%
23%
50%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAN
2 - 3
ASU
80%
13%
8%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +2 |