Real Sport Clube vs Moncarapachense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
10º
13º
13º
49
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sport Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
REA
3 - 2
OEL
13%
20%
67%
|
34 | 64 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
REA
1 - 2
OLM
10%
15%
75%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LOU
3 - 0
REA
67%
20%
13%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
REA
2 - 3
VST
21%
23%
55%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FAB
2 - 1
REA
57%
22%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MON
6 - 2
UMI
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 10 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
LOU
19%
25%
56%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VST
1 - 2
MON
75%
17%
9%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
FAB
26%
23%
50%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +3 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ORI
1 - 1
MON
61%
22%
17%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |