Real SC vs GE Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
61.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
VER
3 - 1
RSC
69%
18%
14%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
RSC
0 - 2
BRA
20%
20%
60%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RSC
5 - 2
SSR
62%
19%
19%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CRU
5 - 0
RSC
52%
23%
25%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCV
5 - 0
RSC
12%
16%
72%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | -3 |
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
NOV
1 - 0
GEB
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
SGA
0 - 3
GEB
23%
25%
52%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
GEB
1 - 0
ISM
20%
24%
56%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +2 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
PEL
1 - 1
GEB
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
GEB
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |