Real Santander vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
61.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
HUI
0 - 0
REA
70%
20%
11%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2025 |
REA
0 - 3
COR
23%
26%
50%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
CUC
2 - 1
REA
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
QUI
4 - 2
REA
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
REA
1 - 1
PAT
20%
27%
54%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
FOR
0 - 1
UNI
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 2
AME
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
TOL
3 - 1
UNI
39%
29%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 3
ONC
46%
28%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
ENV
2 - 1
UNI
35%
29%
37%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |