Real Santander vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 3
REA
50%
25%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
REA
1 - 2
ALI
26%
26%
49%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2017 |
REA
0 - 2
UNI
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
RSC
0 - 1
REA
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
LEO
1 - 0
REA
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 3
PER
30%
28%
43%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 0
BUC
26%
26%
48%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 1
UNI
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 0
LLA
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 0
CAR
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |