Real Santander vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
29.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
AGU
2 - 0
REA
59%
25%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
REA
4 - 0
ALI
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
PAT
0 - 0
REA
54%
26%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
REA
5 - 1
ALI
61%
24%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
REA
0 - 1
BUC
25%
28%
47%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 1
ALI
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 1
UNI
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
RIO
1 - 0
UNI
53%
27%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
UNI
3 - 0
BUC
33%
29%
38%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 2
SAB
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |