Real Santander vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
37.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
9º
16º
10º
27
3º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 31 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 30 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 30 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 27 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 23 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 14 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 9 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
QUI
1 - 1
REA
55%
26%
20%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
REA
2 - 2
COR
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
BJC
0 - 0
REA
25%
27%
48%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
REA
2 - 1
PAT
28%
29%
44%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 0
REA
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
AFC
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 3
BOG
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
RSC
1 - 1
CAR
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 2
BJC
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
PAT
0 - 0
CAR
47%
28%
26%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |