Real Santander vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
50%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
REA
1 - 5
CUC
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 2
REA
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 1
REA
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
REA
1 - 0
BAR
54%
25%
22%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
COR
2 - 0
REA
52%
24%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
JUN
2 - 1
CAR
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 2
RSC
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
QUI
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
CUC
3 - 0
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
BUC
3 - 2
CAR
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |