Real Santander vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
41.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
CHI
3 - 1
REA
59%
25%
16%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
REA
1 - 1
RSC
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ORS
3 - 1
REA
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
REA
0 - 2
AFC
62%
22%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BOG
1 - 1
REA
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
CHI
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
RSC
1 - 1
FOR
25%
27%
47%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
4 - 0
ORS
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 3
FOR
23%
27%
50%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 0
BOG
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +2 |