Real Santander vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
31.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 4
REA
62%
23%
16%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
REA
0 - 0
QUI
21%
26%
54%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
AFC
2 - 1
REA
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
REA
1 - 1
TFC
30%
29%
41%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
REA
0 - 1
COR
21%
23%
56%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 1
UNI
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
FOR
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 2
UNI
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
COR
2 - 1
FOR
61%
24%
16%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
PER
3 - 0
FOR
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |