Real Santander vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
39.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
LLA
0 - 0
REA
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
REA
3 - 1
PER
24%
27%
49%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
RSC
1 - 2
REA
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
PAT
3 - 0
REA
60%
22%
19%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 2
REA
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 1
UNI
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
UNI
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
PER
1 - 0
FOR
59%
22%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
LLA
2 - 0
FOR
45%
28%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 0
ONC
18%
23%
60%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | +2 |