Real Santander vs Atlético Bucaramanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PAT
2 - 1
REA
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
REA
2 - 2
RIO
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BOG
0 - 0
REA
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 3
REA
17%
23%
60%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
REA
2 - 0
PAC
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
BUC
0 - 2
CEN
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
TFC
1 - 1
BUC
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
BUC
0 - 1
UNI
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ACA
2 - 0
BUC
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
BUC
1 - 0
COR
45%
26%
28%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |