Real San Joaquín vs Chimbarongo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.1%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
3.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real San Joaquín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
LIM
5 - 1
JOA
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
JOA
4 - 1
MEJ
75%
15%
10%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
REN
2 - 1
JOA
39%
25%
37%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
GAS
3 - 3
JOA
13%
21%
66%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
GVE
1 - 0
JOA
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Chimbarongo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 2
LIM
18%
23%
59%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
FVC
5 - 0
CHI
83%
12%
5%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
MEJ
2 - 1
CHI
67%
17%
16%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
REN
1 - 0
CHI
79%
13%
8%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 3
GAS
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |