Real Safor vs Simat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
20.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Safor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 1
RSA
73%
15%
13%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
RSA
0 - 2
XER
34%
22%
44%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
VER
2 - 1
RSA
71%
16%
13%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
RSA
1 - 2
BEL
36%
22%
43%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
RSA
63%
19%
19%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Simat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
SIM
1 - 2
ORB
20%
21%
59%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ROT
2 - 0
SIM
44%
20%
36%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SIM
1 - 3
CDC
79%
13%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
GAN
5 - 3
SIM
51%
20%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
SIM
2 - 2
BEL
35%
22%
43%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |