Real Safor vs Ath. La Vall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
16.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Safor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
RSA
2 - 1
ORB
34%
22%
44%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
ROT
3 - 5
RSA
25%
20%
55%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
RSA
3 - 0
CDC
80%
13%
8%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
GAN
2 - 5
RSA
62%
19%
19%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
RSA
1 - 2
GAN
19%
19%
62%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ath. La Vall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ATH
1 - 4
XER
32%
24%
44%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ORB
4 - 0
ATH
62%
19%
19%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
ATH
0 - 2
VER
33%
24%
43%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ROT
2 - 4
ATH
26%
22%
52%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ATH
0 - 3
BEL
45%
22%
33%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |