Real Pharma vs Karpaty II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
57.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-74%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
14º
14º
39
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 32 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Pharma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
RPH
1 - 1
UCS
31%
26%
43%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
RPH
82%
13%
5%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
RPH
2 - 1
FKK
61%
19%
20%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FCL
5 - 0
RPH
13%
17%
70%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
RPH
0 - 2
FKT
25%
24%
51%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Karpaty II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
UCS
1 - 1
KAR
29%
25%
46%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
KAR
2 - 1
SST
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 3
KAR
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
KAR
1 - 2
RUT
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 0
KAR
15%
21%
64%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |