Real Pharma vs Kremin II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
20.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-76%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
14º
14º
6
13º
14º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 32 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Pharma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FCL
5 - 0
RPH
13%
17%
70%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
RPH
0 - 2
FKT
25%
24%
51%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NYV
2 - 0
RPH
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
RPH
1 - 2
VAM
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
SST
2 - 1
RPH
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Kremin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 1
UCS
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
5 - 0
FKK
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 0
KAR
15%
21%
64%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FCL
3 - 1
FKK
12%
16%
72%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
FKT
2 - 1
FKK
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |