Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-2
Real Oviedo vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
OVI
2 - 2
BUR
60%
25%
15%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1974 |
CCF
2 - 0
OVI
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
OVI
1 - 1
CAD
52%
27%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
SEV
1 - 1
OVI
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
OVI
0 - 0
CDO
65%
22%
13%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
RJA
2 - 0
BAL
65%
23%
12%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1974 |
CFC
2 - 2
RJA
76%
17%
7%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
RJA
1 - 0
ORI
66%
22%
13%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1974 |
ELD
2 - 0
RJA
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
PUE
2 - 1
RJA
71%
20%
9%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |