Real Oviedo vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
RMA
2 - 2
OVI
81%
13%
7%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
OVI
1 - 1
VAD
45%
28%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
BET
1 - 0
OVI
64%
21%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
OVI
1 - 0
ALA
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
ESP
2 - 1
OVI
60%
23%
18%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
NUM
3 - 3
FCB
14%
21%
65%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
VCF
4 - 0
NUM
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
NUM
1 - 1
MAL
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
DEP
0 - 2
NUM
73%
18%
10%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
NUM
1 - 1
ATH
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |