Real Oviedo vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
UCA
0 - 1
OVI
42%
27%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
OVI
2 - 0
CDT
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
GIR
0 - 0
OVI
59%
24%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
OVI
2 - 0
RAY
17%
23%
60%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
OVI
2 - 2
NUM
40%
29%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LUG
0 - 1
CAD
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
REU
2 - 1
LUG
33%
30%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
LUG
0 - 1
GET
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MIR
2 - 2
LUG
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LUG
3 - 1
MLL
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |