Real Oviedo vs Fuenlabrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
AVI
0 - 2
OVI
22%
27%
52%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
OVI
1 - 2
ZAM
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SSR
2 - 0
OVI
27%
29%
45%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
OVI
3 - 1
RVB
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CDT
3 - 0
OVI
70%
20%
11%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FUE
4 - 2
SPB
22%
26%
52%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
FUE
1 - 0
COR
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
COR
0 - 3
FUE
36%
26%
39%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
FUE
2 - 0
CER
35%
27%
37%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
CER
2 - 1
FUE
54%
25%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |