Real Oviedo Vetusta vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo Vetusta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
PON
2 - 1
ROB
66%
21%
13%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
ROB
0 - 1
AUR
34%
28%
38%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
CEL
1 - 0
ROB
51%
25%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
ROB
0 - 1
ALA
31%
27%
42%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
ATH
6 - 0
ROB
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
GER
1 - 1
AMU
31%
31%
38%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
MAR
2 - 0
GER
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
GER
2 - 1
LUG
36%
29%
35%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
COM
3 - 0
GER
79%
15%
7%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
GER
1 - 0
CUL
22%
30%
49%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +2 |