Real Noroeste vs Doze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
DES
1 - 1
REA
28%
26%
47%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
REA
0 - 2
ESP
61%
22%
16%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 4
REA
36%
26%
39%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ITA
3 - 1
REA
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
REA
1 - 0
DES
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Doze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
ECT
2 - 1
DOZ
16%
18%
66%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
DOZ
1 - 0
SAO
31%
25%
45%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
VIT
2 - 0
DOZ
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ITA
2 - 1
DOZ
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
DOZ
2 - 2
ITA
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |