Real Nocera vs Turris Neapolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
59.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Nocera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
REA
0 - 0
FRA
45%
25%
30%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BRI
5 - 2
REA
51%
24%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
REA
3 - 2
ANG
65%
20%
15%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
REA
65%
19%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
REA
0 - 0
INT
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Turris Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
TUR
1 - 1
ANG
83%
12%
6%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
INT
2 - 4
TUR
27%
24%
50%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TUR
4 - 2
BRI
75%
16%
10%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CAM
0 - 0
TUR
32%
24%
45%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
TUR
1 - 1
MAR
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |