Real Murcia vs Vecindario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
8.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
RMC
0 - 2
MUR
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
MUR
3 - 2
MAL
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
ELC
1 - 1
MUR
48%
28%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
MUR
1 - 1
PON
70%
20%
10%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
LOR
1 - 1
MUR
51%
27%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vecindario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
VEC
2 - 1
CDT
27%
27%
47%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
VEC
0 - 3
SLA
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
RMC
3 - 2
VEC
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
VEC
1 - 1
MAL
19%
25%
55%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
ELC
2 - 1
VEC
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |