Real Murcia vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
ELC
0 - 0
MUR
46%
29%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
MUR
0 - 0
SLA
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
EIB
0 - 2
MUR
45%
28%
28%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
MUR
2 - 2
ATH
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
BET
1 - 1
MUR
63%
23%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
RMC
0 - 0
DEP
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
UDL
4 - 1
RMC
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
RMC
1 - 2
RAC
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
SAB
0 - 0
RMC
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
RMC
1 - 0
ESP
31%
31%
38%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |