Real Murcia vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
REC
4 - 1
MUR
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
MUR
2 - 0
LEV
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
GET
4 - 0
MUR
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
MUR
5 - 0
SPO
43%
27%
31%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
ALB
2 - 1
MUR
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
RJA
1 - 0
EIB
29%
32%
40%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
EXT
2 - 0
RJA
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
RJA
0 - 0
CDT
19%
27%
53%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
ULP
0 - 0
RJA
37%
29%
35%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
RJA
0 - 0
CCF
37%
31%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |