Real Murcia vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
25%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
3 - 2
MUR
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
MUR
0 - 2
ALB
56%
25%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
REC
0 - 2
MUR
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
MUR
0 - 0
HER
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
CCF
0 - 1
MUR
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
RAY
3 - 2
UDL
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ELC
2 - 2
RAY
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
RAY
1 - 2
CEL
48%
25%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CAD
1 - 1
RAY
43%
28%
30%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
RAY
0 - 2
VIL
65%
21%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |