Real Murcia vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
36.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
DEP
3 - 1
MUR
72%
19%
10%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 1
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 0
MUR
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
XER
3 - 1
MUR
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 2
UDL
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
HER
4 - 2
GIR
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CCF
3 - 1
HER
44%
28%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HER
1 - 3
GIM
79%
15%
6%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
HER
5 - 0
GUA
81%
14%
5%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 0
HER
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |